Avatar is overhyped.. period.. Our little buddies at the Academy are going to suck Cameron off, if not it's going to The Hurt Locker. Inglourious Basterds can't even compete for best picture. It was funny, tarantino-ish and all but it lacked any sort of message to the audience.. For me, best picture nominations and wins are about great acting, screenplay, direction, setting and the message that the movie delivers.. In that sense, I'd vote for The Hurt Locker, Invictus (not nominated), or Up In The Air.. All these movies were extremely meaningful
The Hurt Locker told us the story of the situation Iraq in the most realistic portrayal so far;
Invictus shows what it means to be a nation;
Up in the Air tells us how important it is to maintain good relationships in life.